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New “posture” of France in Africa?

New “posture” of France in Africa? This Monday, February 27, at 5:00 p.m., the French President will deliver a major speech from the Élysée Palace to define the objectives of his four-day trip to Central Africa from March 1 to 5. On the other hand, popular hostility to the French military presence is growing on the African coast, revealed by mass demonstrations in Chad, Niger and Burkina Faso, against Paris and its policy in the region.

This Monday, February 27, at 5:00 p.m., the French President will deliver a major speech from the Élysée Palace to define the objectives of his four-day trip to Central Africa from March 1 to 5. This is the second trip to sub-Saharan Africa by the President since his re-election. He visited Cameroon, Benin and Guinea-Bissau in July. This time, four countries are on the agenda: Gabon, Angola, Congo Brazzaville and the Democratic Republic of Congo.

“Bringing the Euro-African axis to life

Through these visits, Emmanuel Macron intends to “bring to life the Euro-African axis“, in a period of “acute awareness of the risk of fragmentation of the world and the risk of fracture under the effect of the consequences of the war in Ukraine”, said the Elysee to the press, ahead of this week.

On August 15, the anti-terrorist operation “Barkhane” in Mali ended, leaving a strong anti-French sentiment and an increasingly pervasive Russian influence. On February 23, Mali was one of four African countries to oppose the UN resolution to condemn Russian aggression in Ukraine. Gabon, which will be visited by Emmanuel Macron, abstained. “This confirms the importance of talking to each other because the purpose of diplomacy is not to talk only with those with whom we agree on everything, but also to talk about the major strategic issues before us,” said the French presidency in this regard.

Establish economic, cultural and ecological partnerships…

“At a time when the Barkhane operation is coming to an end and when we are developing our mechanism on the African continent, this is a window of opportunity to deploy a fully partnership agenda,” it is promised, while a large delegation of politicians, business leaders or scientists is announced alongside Emmanuel Macron.

Cooperation on Ecology

Among the topics to be discussed during this trip and for this renewed partnership: ecology, with a summit on the forest organized in Libreville, Gabon on March 1 and 2. “There will be no victory in the fight against climate change or in the preservation of biodiversity without the support of Africa,” warns the Élysée, which is pleased with this “One Forest Summit” in which Ecology Minister Christophe Béchu will participate on the French side.

Other issues: agriculture, “the central theme” of the visit to Angola, culture at the center of discussions in Brazzaville (Republic of Congo) and Kinshasa (Democratic Republic of Congo), but also security issues that will be “placed in the context of a broader partnership.

New “posture”

Another novelty claimed on the French side is the fact that they are coming “as a team” and not making this trip “a solitary exercise for the president,” says the Élysée. First with this delegation in charge of establishing possible partnerships, but also by the presence of European Commissioners, including in the Democratic Republic of Congo, such as Frenchman Thierry Breton, in charge of the internal market, and Finnish Jutta Urpilainen, in charge of international partnerships, who will attend the economic exchanges.

Finally, the desire to “correct the impression of abandonment or neglect” of France, particularly in Congo Brazzaville or Gabon, is claimed while “it has been a long time since a president of the French Republic has visited these countries. The Élysée Palace puts forward “a signal of consideration” and hopes for a partnership “not only with the authorities, but also with the populations, the entrepreneurs of these countries, the artists, the committed people”. Far, far away from Operation Barkhane.

Is Macron seeking new influence in Central Africa?

This Monday, February 27, at 5:00 p.m., the French President will deliver a major speech from the Élysée Palace to define the objectives of his four-day trip to Central Africa from March 1 to 5.

The African continent has been experiencing a multilateral international influence struggle for years, including Russia, which has become the source of great pain for France in the Sahel and West African countries, after Moscow, through the Wagner Group, exerted its influence in Central Africa and Mali, and seeks to expand it in partnership with the new military regime in Burkina Faso.

On the other hand, popular hostility to the French military presence is growing on the African coast, revealed by mass demonstrations in Chad, Niger and Burkina Faso, against Paris and its policy in the region.

China, which has also become a player on the brown continent, has set its sights on the Gulf of Guinea, as revealed by U.S. intelligence reports indicating Beijing’s intention to establish its first permanent military presence on the Atlantic Ocean, in the small central African country of Equatorial Guinea.

China’s ambitions in the Gulf of Guinea are based on what a Chinese presence there means to the Americans, which is to obtain an outlet on the Atlantic Ocean, opposite the U.S. eastern seaboard, that will allow Chinese warships to refuel and arm them more easily and quickly, and facilitate their maintenance and increase their combat readiness in ocean waters.

In addition to allowing Beijing to get its hands on the oil reserves that abound in the region, it will also remain at one of the most important historical junctions of shipping lines between the north, south and west of the continent and the world.

Macron’s visit comes in response to the visits of Russian Sergei Lavrov

Thus, in the midst of the ongoing clash of elephants, France is seeking to gather its seemingly scattered cards. This is confirmed by Chadian analyst and journalist Mohamed Taher Zein, in his interview with FLA, stating, “Macron’s visit comes in response to the visits of Russian Sergei Lavrov in recent weeks to Mali, Mauritania and Sudan, in an attempt to find the space that can be played in the coming period as part of a strategy of restoring prestige and imposing control over the area.

“Thus”, adds the Chadian analyst, “the issue is not devoid of Russian, French, Chinese and American competition over the region, which is full of important gold and diamond reserves”, and “France is working in various ways to restore its influence after having lost the bet in Mali, Central African Republic and Burkina Faso, hence what is happening now, deeply rooted in the ongoing conflict of geopolitical interests.

Consolidating its alliance with Algeria, Iran prepares its intrusion in the Sahara / Sahel

The Tehran-Alger-Tindouf (polisario) axis has been confirmed with a new and unexpected input, Mauritania. An alliance with this country, as Iran no longer hides its hegemonic ambitions in North Africa and the Sahel by using the Sahara. Consolidating its alliance with Algeria, Iran prepares its intrusion in the Sahara / Sahel.

Consolidating its alliance with Algeria, Iran prepares its intrusion in the Sahara / Sahel

Iranian Foreign Minister Houceïn Emir Abdoullahyane met on Wednesday evening with President Mohamed Cheikh Ould El Ghazouani to discuss ways to strengthen relations between the two countries in trade and in the fight against terrorism.

The sponsor of global terrorism is seeking to cultivate its relations with Mauritania in order to establish its hegemony in the north African region and connect it to West Africa.

Nouakchott, which has long feared Tehran’s influence in its territory, has nevertheless come up against the advance of Iranian Shiite dogma. Iran’s formidable weapon for weaving its web, shi’ism is the background and basis of its expansion strategy on the spiritual, cultural, and political levels.

Iran’s destabilizing aims in North Africa and the Sahel and its growing interest in nurturing separatism against Morocco’s territorial integrity

Mauritania’s complacency was officially demonstrated by the reception of the head of Iranian diplomacy by the Mauritanian president when he could have been welcomed by his counterpart at the Ministry of Foreign Affairs. The two parties even discussed the Sahara, although officially the visit was only supposed to focus on trade between Nouakchott and Tehran, and the Mauritanian Information Agency (AMI) deliberately concealed this fact.

But the Mauritanian press revealed the Iranian minister’s statement that makes no doubt about Iran’s interests in the region.

“I thank the Mauritanian president for his constructive and valuable efforts in pursuing the initiative of fighting terrorism and promoting lasting peace and security in Western Sahara. This issue is receiving special attention from the Islamic Republic of Iran,” said Houceïn Emir Abdoullahyane, quoted by the Mauritanian news website Anbaainfo and other media.

Iran’s destabilizing aims in North Africa and the Sahel and its growing interest in nurturing separatism against Morocco’s territorial integrity, by having elements of the polisario trained by the Lebanese Hezbollah (funded by Iran) and its military equipment, had led Morocco to suspend diplomatic relations with the Islamic Republic of Iran in 2018.

Iran has also delivered Iranian-made drones to the polisario through Algeria. Tehran has also never hidden its links with the polisario since it has recognized the self-proclaimed polisario “rasd” since 1980 without the international community recognizing it.

Prior to his visit to Mauritania, aboard an Algerian plane, the Iranian Foreign Minister had made similar visits to several Sahel countries, including Mali, Burkina Faso, Chad and Niger.

In a context of French withdrawal from Africa, Iran – which has always instilled its influence on the continent as a counter-power to the West and the Sunni Arab countries – has found a favourable ground for its incursions into the region, notably by seeking a new ally in Mauritania after having already sealed its partnership with Algeria and indirectly Tunisia.

By adding Mauritania to its list, Iran would have a spectacular opportunity to redraw its political map by signing the axis of evil in North Africa and the Sahel, exploiting Algiers’ animosity towards Morocco, Mauritania’s fear transformed into a grey zone and Tunisia’s political and economic weakness.

It should be noted that Iran’s motivations and the interplay of interests go beyond Morocco, and compete directly with the alliance between Morocco, the United States and Israel, aiming to fill the large hole left by France in Africa and play elbows with other powers.

In North Africa and the Sahel in particular, the Iranian plan aims to deconstruct the regional stability and stable relations of neighboring countries, to recreate a Middle East on fire and weak controlled by the mullahs.

Prior to his visit to Mauritania, aboard an Algerian plane, the Iranian Foreign Minister had made similar visits to several Sahel countries, including Mali, Burkina Faso, Chad and Niger.